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	<title>Free Fantasy Magazine &#187; Ian Desmond</title>
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		<title>Sacks Juiced: May 18th</title>
		<link>http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2010/05/sacks-juiced/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2010/05/sacks-juiced/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 May 2010 16:19:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kris</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Hype Machine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Hill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Lind]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andruw Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Zobrist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bobby Jenks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brandon Wood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brennan Boesch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bud Norris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Lee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Silva]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Zambrano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Casey McGehee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[david price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[edwin encarnacion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evan Meek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Felipe Lopez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homer Bailey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ian Desmond]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ian Kinsler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ike Davis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jay Bruce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jhoulys Chacin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jose Guillen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Beckett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Millwood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kris Medlen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lyle Overbay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mat Latos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Adams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Neftali Feliz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rick Porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roy Halladay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sacks Juiced]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sergio Santos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shaun Marcum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tyler Colvin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vernon Wells]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vladimir Guerrero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zack  Greinke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zack Duke]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/?p=2129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[TweetHomer Bailey went seven strong innings against the Brewers, giving up 4H, 2BB and a couple ER.  Bailey settled down well after giving up both earned runs in the first. ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="float: right; margin-left: 10px;"><a href="http://twitter.com/share?url=http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2010/05/sacks-juiced/&via=freefantasy&text=Sacks Juiced: May 18th&related=freefantasy:Free Fantasy Magazine&lang=en&count=vertical" class="twitter-share-button">Tweet</a><script type="text/javascript" src="http://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script></div><p><strong>Homer Bailey</strong> went seven strong innings against the Brewers, giving up 4H, 2BB and a couple ER.  Bailey settled down well after giving up both earned runs in the first.  He relied heavily on his fastball (71%) but his change-up looked better than it had in a couple starts.</p>
<p><strong>Jay Bruce</strong> stole a base and collected a couple hits off lefty, Manny Parra.  Bruce has slowly been improving his platoon splits but it&#8217;s still quite sensible to sit him against top-tier lefties.  Jay Bruce is now hitting .280 on the year after a .223 &#8217;08 campaign.  Bruce may be striking out more in 2010 but his swing-rate and swinging strikes are both down.  More importantly, Bruce has upped his walk-rate by swinging less outside of the zone.  You get the feeling that a break-out month is on the horizon for Jay Bruce.</p>
<p><strong>Casey McGehee</strong> continued to absolutely punish the baseball with 3 hits on Tuesday.  After a 2009 season where McGehee owned the fastball, he&#8217;s been doing most of his damage this year on off-speed stuff.  McGehee&#8217;s BABIP isn&#8217;t spectacularly high &#8212; it&#8217;s actually the same .330 it was last year &#8211; but with only 10% of his hits as line-drives, there&#8217;s some concern.</p>
<p><strong>The Toronto Blue Jays</strong> continued to light up mistake prone pitches against the Twins and <strong>Carl Pavano</strong>.  <strong>Aaron Hill, Vernon Wells, Lyle Overbay</strong> and <strong>Edwin Encarnacion</strong> all went yard.  Blue Jays not named <strong>Aaron Hill</strong> or <strong>Adam Lind</strong> will eventually regress but I&#8217;m not going to be the one to predict it.  With <strong>Hill&#8217;s</strong> homer and <strong>Adam Lind&#8217;s</strong> 2-hit game, their batting averages now sit at .175 and .231, respectively.  <strong>Adam Lind</strong> will have trouble duplicating his 2009 break-out season without cutting his Ks down to 2009 levels:  currently, he&#8217;s at 29% versus 19% in 2009.</p>
<p><strong>Shaun Marcum</strong> continues to dominate with control after missing all of 2009 but the ERA is a bit lucky.  Expecting something closer to 2008&#8242;s 3.40ERA rather than 2010&#8242;s current 2.61 ERA seems to make sense.  <strong>Marcum&#8217;s</strong> ability to move the fastball and place the change-up wherever he damn-well pleases is extraordinary.</p>
<p><strong>Rick Porcello&#8217;s</strong> sinker just isn&#8217;t sinking which is a problem when your value&#8217;s tied up in ERA and WHIP. At this point, I&#8217;m having major issues seeing <strong>Porcello&#8217;s</strong> upside, especially if he continues to walk almost as many batters as he&#8217;s striking out. Rick Porcello walked another 3 batters last night in a very mediocre performance (7IP, 4ER, 8H, 3BB, 2K) against the White Sox.</p>
<p>With 2 Hits and a steal, <strong>Brennan Boesch</strong> is now hitting .387 on the strength of a .426 BABIP.  The rook&#8217;s slugging percentage sits at a darling .680 but this can only last so long with a BB-Rate of 3% and a 51% O-Swing.</p>
<p><strong>Andruw Jones</strong> went 1-for-2 in stolen base attempts last night; Can you believe Jones has 7 SB on the year?</p>
<p>Thankfully for White Sox fans, <strong>Bobby Jenks</strong> pitched a pretty clean 9th inning:  1H, 0BB and 2 Ks.  <strong>Sergio Santos</strong> walked a couple in one inning&#8217;s work to raise his WHIP to 1.08.  Hitters are only hitting .165 against Santos and his very live fastball (AVG Speed: 95.6mph).</p>
<p>Florida spanked Arizona eight to nil on Tuesday.  <strong>Justin Upton</strong> was the only Diamondback position player to record a hit &#8212; which he bundled with another 2 SO, lovely.</p>
<p><strong>Cameron Maybin</strong> hit in the 2-hole and recorded a homer, a walk and a strike-out.  The kid&#8217;s still hitting just .242 (on a .341 BABIP) and striking out 32.6% of the time.</p>
<p><strong>David Price </strong>pitched another solid game for his sixth win of the year.  I&#8217;d really like to see Price return to the BB numbers of 2008 (2.57) before I fully endorse him as elite, though.  While Price is getting a bit lucky on balls in play, he&#8217;s still pitching incredibly well with a 3.06 FIP and a True ERA (tERA) of 2.91.</p>
<p><strong>Ben Zobrist</strong> is still without a homer, but i&#8217;d hardly call him a major disappointment after his 7th steal of the year.  His .340 BABIP is almost negated by a 5% increase in line-drives over last year.  The major concerns that I have with Zobrist is his huge jump in O-Swing (&#8217;09: 19%, 10: 27%) and decline in BB-Rate (&#8217;09: 15%, &#8217;10: 10%).</p>
<p>The Royals and Orioles game was a thriller, just ask the reported 9,715 fans that showed up at Camden to take in the baseball super-event.  <strong>Kevin Millwood,</strong> a man that I&#8217;ll never roster, continued his hot streak going 8 strong innings, striking out seven without a walk.  <strong>Millwood&#8217;s </strong>ERA is now 3.65 on the year and he&#8217;s striking out more than 7 batters per 9.</p>
<p><strong>Jose Guillen </strong>had two more hits and is now batting .261 with 8HR.  Guillen has quietly gone about matching his 2009 power numbers in about half the games.  He&#8217;s already accumulated one more double, one fewer homer, seven fewer runs, and 15 fewer RBI in 41 fewer games.</p>
<p><strong>Zack Greinke</strong> got yet another no-decision, despite 7IP, 2ER, 6K and 1BB.  That&#8217;s one whole win on the entire year, folks.  If there&#8217;s anyway that you can acquire Greinke, I&#8217;d do it.  He&#8217;ll still end up with at least 10-12 wins on the year.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m a bit sensitive about <strong>Josh Beckett</strong> as the former Texas Highschooler was one of my first ever keeper picks.  In 4.2IP, Beckett gave up another 3ER &#8212; That&#8217;s good for a season ERA on the wrong side of 7.</p>
<p><strong>C.C. Sabathia </strong>allowed a single run in seven solid innings but I&#8217;m somewhat concerned about the strike-out and walk totals.  C.C. has a habit of starting out poorly but he&#8217;s barely striking out six batters per nine and walking almost 3-per-9.  He should eventually round back into form before that .239 BABIP catches up to him.</p>
<p><strong>Roy Halladay&#8217;s </strong>complete game, two ER, six K, performance<strong> </strong>was out-dueled by <strong>Zack Duke</strong> et. al.  <strong>Evan Meek </strong>pitched another solid inning in relief, striking out one and walking another.  On the season, <strong>Meek</strong> has a ERA of 0.69 and has managed to strike-out a batter per inning while only walking 2.42-per-9.  <strong>Evan Meek&#8217;s</strong> added a couple of MPH across the board and his average fastball hitting 95mph is starting to look closer-worthy.  All the plate discipline indicators show that hitters are having trouble with his stuff; it&#8217;s just a matter of sustaining the BB-Rate, which he&#8217;s lopped in half since 2009.</p>
<p><strong>Ike Davis </strong>hit a dinger, his first in a couple weeks.  While the strike-outs are worrisome, he&#8217;s walking almost 16% of the time.  There will inconsistency but Davis has looked pretty good thus far:  .275 AVG /.393 OBP/ .466 SLG.</p>
<p><strong>Kris Medlen</strong> continued to prove his case with 6.1 innings of 4 Hit ball.  <strong>Medlen </strong>allowed a couple homers while striking out six and walking a couple.</p>
<p>I have absolutely no fucking clue how <strong>Carlos Silva</strong> continues to pitch this well.</p>
<p>Five walks in just over five innings got <strong>Jhoulys Chacin</strong> into trouble.  He still managed to strike-out six batters and his season ERA is now at 3.12.  If <strong>Chacin </strong>can keep his K:BB on the right side of two, he&#8217;ll have success going forward.  Expect the normal bumps and bruises, though.</p>
<p><strong>Carlos Zambrano</strong> pitched a perfect ninth: two strike-outs and no walks!  The Cubs want him and his gigantic salary back in the rotation, which at least gives Big-Z owners hope.</p>
<p><strong>Tyler Colvin</strong> took advantage of the playing time, knocking in a run and scoring a couple on three hits.  I&#8217;m not sure how the Cubbies can make this work but this kid needs to see some consistent at-bats.</p>
<p><strong>Carlos Gonzalez </strong>had two hits for the Rockies but there is something dirty about his 2.7% BB-Rate hitting lead-off.</p>
<p><strong>Ian Kinsler</strong> hit his first dinger of the year to help Texas beat the Angels.  On the season, <strong>Vladdy Guerrero</strong> now has eight homers after another one last night.  The question is not if Guerrero will come up with a bum hamstring but when.</p>
<p><strong>Neftali Feliz</strong> is rounding back into form, pitching a scoreless ninth with two K&#8217;s.</p>
<p>At what point do the Angels just give up on <strong>Brandon Wood</strong>? Another hitless game for Wood.</p>
<p><strong>Felipe Lopez</strong> lead off for the Cardinals last night.  You know the deal with Lopez, he&#8217;ll score runs and steal bases but it won&#8217;t be pretty.  I&#8217;ve got a feeling that<strong> Lopez </strong>might return to his 20 SB days after stealing just 14 over the course of the previous two years.</p>
<p>Six hits over two games was all it took <strong>Ian Desmond</strong> to raise his batting average from .246 to .279 &#8212; Wonky, eh?    This is a guy that flashed 30SB potential throughout the minors but it&#8217;s yet to translate.  In 2009, across two levels and a cup of coffee (AA-AAA-MLB,) Desmond stole 22 Bases.</p>
<p><strong>Felix Hernandez</strong> got hit pretty hard (11H, 2BB) without it translating into ER (3).  <strong>Ben Sheets</strong> came back down to earth as he walked 4 more batters en route to 4ER.</p>
<p><strong>Kurt Suzuki</strong> had 3 hits to raise his batting average from .239 to .264.  He&#8217;s still a viable option at catcher.</p>
<p>The story of the extra-innings game between the Padres and the Giants was <strong>Mat Latos</strong>.  Neither Latos nor the Padres got the win thanks in part to Mike Adams&#8217; blown save in the eighth.  <strong>Mat Latos&#8217;</strong> WHIP now sits just below 1.00 in part because he&#8217;s given up just 1 walk in his previous three starts.  Definitely someone worth locking your sights on.</p>
<p><strong>Bud Norris</strong> exploded yet again against the Dodgers.  With a couple of hits and a homer,<strong> Carlos Lee </strong>may finally be starting to heat up.</p>
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