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	<title>Free Fantasy Magazine &#187; Guerrero</title>
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	<link>http://www.freefantasymagazine.com</link>
	<description>Free Fantasy Magazine: Save Yourself Eight Bucks.</description>
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		<title>One Borbon, One Scotch and One Beer</title>
		<link>http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2010/06/one-borbon-one-scotch-and-one-beer/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2010/06/one-borbon-one-scotch-and-one-beer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jun 2010 16:49:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>kris</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[FTW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elvis Andrus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Guerrero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ian Kinsler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Hamilton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Julio Borbon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Smoak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Young]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nelson Cruz]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/?p=2246</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[TweetIn Sunday&#8217;s win against the Brewers, Julio Borbon was shifted up in the order to fill the spot of a resting Ian Kinsler.  Borbon hadn&#8217;t seen the top half of...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="float: right; margin-left: 10px;"><a href="http://twitter.com/share?url=http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2010/06/one-borbon-one-scotch-and-one-beer/&via=freefantasy&text=One Borbon, One Scotch and One Beer&related=freefantasy:Free Fantasy Magazine&lang=en&count=vertical" class="twitter-share-button">Tweet</a><script type="text/javascript" src="http://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script></div><p>In Sunday&#8217;s win against the Brewers, Julio Borbon was shifted up in the order to fill the spot of a resting Ian Kinsler.  Borbon hadn&#8217;t seen the top half of the order in a while and he definitely put in a solid performance in the two-hole: 2H, 1R and 2RBI on a couple doubles.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s unlikely that Borbon will be able to permanently crack the top-half of the order that consists of Andrus, Young, Kinsler, Hamilton and Guerrero but his left-handed bat would be an asset between the all-righty triumvirate that leads off.</p>
<p>When Nelson Cruz returns, almost all of the Rangers&#8217; pop comes from the right side with only Josh Hamilton, Justin Smoak and Julio Bourbon being primarily lefties at the dish.  For many managers, this is a good enough reason to find a way for Borbon to break up a run of righties, especially as the season progresses.</p>
<p>Of course, all this would be meaningless if not for Borbon&#8217;s recent resurgence. After an April in which Borbon hit a paltry .191, he&#8217;s gradually improved, hitting .278 in May before tearing the skin off the ball in June en route to a .462 average.  Borbon still views a walk as if it were the plague but he&#8217;s already matched his previous two months and June isn&#8217;t even half over.  I&#8217;m not sure how much we can celebrate Borbon posting one walk in three consecutive months but small steps people, small steps.  We&#8217;re getting to the point where Borbon&#8217;s 2% walk-rate is becoming statistically significant but it&#8217;s still quite plausible that he&#8217;ll post a ZiPS predicted 5.1% BB-Rate for the rest of the year.</p>
<p>Borbon obviously needs to get on base in order to put his blazing speed to use; something he hasn&#8217;t been doing despite posting a .463 OBP on the strength of a .514 BABIP in June.  In 2010 thus far, Borbon has played in 10 more games than 2009 yet has stolen almost half as many bases.</p>
<p>At this point, rostering Julio Borbon is a bit of a gamble but he&#8217;s still owned in under 30% of Yahoo! Leagues.  In deeper leagues, it&#8217;s definitely a gamble worth taking despite Borbon&#8217;s free-swinging ways (40% O-Swing) and poor BB-Rate (1.6%).  I&#8217;m a firm believer that with confidence comes a return to patience:  Now that Borbon isn&#8217;t swinging away for a job, he&#8217;s more likely to wait for something to happen rather than forcing it to happen.</p>
<p>If this gamble pays off, you&#8217;ll get around a stolen base or two per week for the rest of the season which should put Borbon around the 30SB mark.  Expecting a batting average over .300 is probably pushing it but Borbon should be able to come within shouting distance of the number with a little bit of luck &#8212; .290 sound fair?</p>
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