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Chris Getz

Fantasy Baseball SVU, April 7th Ed.

April 8, 2009 by kris · Leave a Comment 

delroyLaw and Order SVU hit the spot tonight and Delroy Lindo of Gone In 60 Seconds fame, rocked the house.  Delroy’s currently being represented by the Jamie Moyer of super hot chicks, Jeri Ryan.  Ryan’s still a spring chicken compared to Moyer though, she’s only 41 to Moyer’s 46.

Onto Fantasy Baseball!

IF you’re going to be making moves, here are some eye-catchers for Tuesday:

  1. Josh Johnson – P – Florida Marlins
  2. Colby Rasmus – OF – St. Louis Cardinals
  3. Nick Johnson – 1B – Washington Nationals
  4. Franklin Guetierrez – OF – Seattle Mariners
  5. Erik Bedard – SP – Seattle Mariners (trade for?)
  6. Emmanuel Burris – 2B – San Francisco Giants
  7. Josh Fields & Chris Getz – IF – Chicago White Sox
  8. Converted  OF Skip Schumaker / Mark Teahan – 2B – Cards/Royals
  9. Wandy Rodriguez – SP – Houston Astros
Marlins / Nats

Josh Johnson looked great against the Nationals tonight, striking out 8 batters over 6 and two-thirds innings. Johnson also avoided walking a batter, which is nice to see from the kid.  With Johnson’s strike-out ability (~8K/9), he’ll be very valuable if he can limit his walks. He’s posted career BB/9 totals of between 3 and 4, so this is definitely a great start for the kid.

Keep an eye out for Johnson, if he can keep his walks down to under 3 per 9 — he’ll be a damn good investment in any league. You can do a lot worse than Johnson at this point.

This is the second straight game that Manny Acta has benched Elijah Dukes in favor of Austin Kearns.  It’s obviously not punishment as there are no news stories, and Dukes has been pitch hitting.  Maybe ownership wants to showcase Kearns?  If they’re lucky, they’ll get a player to be named later for Kearns.

Nick Johnson is healthy and raking, and if the rest of the Nationals ever start getting on base — Johnson will have value.  Unfortunately, Johnson will be hurt by that point.

Ronny Paulino and John Baker should form a nice little platoon down in Florida, neither will have value unless they get starter’s AB.

Pirates / Cards

Ian Snell of the Pirates had a rough day, surrendering 8 runs, 6 of which were earned, to the Cardinals.  Lots of good stuff coming out of Cardinals camp: Skip Schumaker’s start at second base didn’t go overly well, as he went hitless and committed a throwing error. Khalil Greene continued hitting, and Colby Rasmus got the start in right-field. Rasmus managed two singles and a walk in 5 plate appearances, not quite Schafer-esque. Strangely enough, both Rasmus and Duncan played with Ludwick riding the pine.  I still think this shapes up as Ludwick, Ankiel and Rasmsus as the starting outfielders.

M’s / Twins

A few line-up maneuvers that should peak your interest:  Guetierrez is batting second for the M’s, a spot in which he should flourish — I’d roster him in deep leagues, especially when Ichiro returns.  Denard Span is batting lead-off for the Twins with Gomez batting 7th.  Alexi Casilla, a nice sleeper, is batting in the 2-hole. Erik Bedard only went 5 innings, but struck out 8 — Hope you drafted him! In that park, with his skills, there’s going to be some serious value….if only he wasn’t a huge injury risk.

Jays / Tigers

Toronto’s 2-0, and first place in the AL EAST, thanks to the Detroit Tigers. On behalf of all Torontonians, Thank you!

Starting Pitchers Edwin Jackson and David Purcey looked stellar; each went 7 innings and gave up 2 and 3 ER, respectively.  Jackson struck out 4, while walking only a single batter. Purcey struck out one more batter, as he whiffed 5, but also walked 3.  Purcey should have more K-value long-term, but Jackson could be primed for one of those “never-saw-dat-coming” seasons.

I’d be worried if I owned one of the closers in this game though.  Lyon’s technically not the closer, but earned a blown save after allowing the game-winning run in a tie ball game.  Ryan was also very hittable, and I’d be picking up Scottie Downs ASAP (if you’re in a league where closer speculating is required)

Braves / Phillies

The Braves handed it to Philly again, and Mike Gonzalez owners exhaled.  Jurrjens didn’t allow a run, but wasn’t all that sharp. Schafer fell back down to earth, but even if he’s going hitless, so long as he’s taking walks — I’m buying it. Nothing terribly interesting…

Red Sox / Rays

Tampa and Boston finally got their seasons going, and I ended up watching a good chunk of this sucker on mlb’s gameday application.  Beckett’s release point was noticeably different between his fastball/curveball, one-two punch — early season kinks, I’m sure.

Tampa’s 3-4-5-6 of Longoria, Pena, Burrell and Joyce is going to strike-out a lot.  I’m actually quite worried about this team, but Maddon’s a bright guy and I’m sure he’ll find a way to split this up.  Other than Iwamura, Bartlett and Gabe Gross each stealing a base, there’s not much of note in this game.  James Shields was hittable, but I’d expect him to post stellar WHIP and K numbers for the rest of the year.

Giants / Brewers

lincmossTim Lincecum is apparently a mortal, a very, very pale mortal that’s starting to look more and more like Kate Moss during the ‘addicted-to-heroin-and-cocaine-era’ or…. Skeletor.

Rickie Weeks is hitting the ball, and JJ Hardy isn’t — Welcome to Bizzaro World.  Hardy left 7 men on base.

Burriss got the start at second base over Frandsen, and Travis Ishikawa is proving me wrong by looking like a big-leaguer.

The Brewers ran wild against Bengie Molina.

Royals / White Sox

Mark Teahan started at second base, and looked good.  Trey Hillman has way too many guys hitting ahead of his two best hitters, Gordon and Butler.  They’re both young, but they shouldn’t be batting 6th and 7th.

The White Sox’ Josh Fields is batting 9th, but I’m not sure where Ozzie Guillen moves him to even if he keeps up his hot hitting. You can flip the White Sox line-up backwards, and it’ll probably look just as good as it does now: Fields (9th), Ramirez (8th), Pierzynski (7th) and Konerko (6th) vs. Wise (1st), Getz (2nd), Quentin (3rd) and Thome (4th).

Cubbies / ‘Stros

Soriano struck out 3 times, but did manage to homer — I’m thinking there’s going to be a lot of these games for him, wadda leadoff hitter.

Wandy Rodriguez looked solid, and does have some pretty solid K potential.  He’s probably one of the top players left in your waiver-wire so keep an eye out.

Not really much to report out of this game, but someone should inform the Astros that Ivan Rodriguez is no longer a viable number-2 hitter.

Rockies / D-Backs

Summary: Lots of Strikeouts.

Ubaldo Jiminez has a blistering fastball, but until he learns to pitch he’s going to have some issues in Coors.  Dan Haren is still Dan Haren.

Justin Upton played, but hit 8th — not good for fantasy owners.

Games in Progress – Dodgers / Padres & Angels / A’s

I love Chris Young this year, and he hasn’t disappointed so far.  I didn’t realize that Chase Headley had third base eligibility in your standard Yahoo! league and if third wasn’t so deep this year, he’d have some value.  If he gets hot, snap him up — otherwise he’s going to be your league average third baseman (fantasy wise).

Kemp batting 7th lowers his value.  I understand starting with Furcal and Hudson but…c’mon!  Obviously, if Hudson sticks in the 2-hole, he’ll have value.

Top prospect, Trevor Cahill, went 5 but walked 5! He also gave up 5 hits! How did he only allow 2 ER?  He has more strike-out potential than the 1 that he posted tonight.

…hopefully the Blue Jays game will be on basic cable tomorrow.  It’s the second game of the year, and the game’s already been shifted into the 400′s on Rogers cable.

Luckily, I wasn’t fooled by Sportsnets’ trickery and promptly switched away from the Maple Leafs game.

Ted Rogers, if you’re reading this in Heaven? could you please magically allow our cable box to get MLB extra innings for free?

Chris Getz

Top Second Basemen In Keeper Dynasty League

April 1, 2009 by kris · Leave a Comment 

Second basemen don’t grow on trees, and they’re pretty tough to predict coming out of the minors.  You’ll find most second basemen are converted shortstops that lack athleticism or a gun for an arm.  Learning the pivot, or learning how to read the ball from the other side of the diamond aren’t easy, but they’re a lot easier than adding range or a better arm…..now that steroids are gone, anyways.

C- 1B2BSS3BOF - SP – RP

1. Ian Kinsler – TEX Rangers – 26 – Edges out Pedroia’s career year of 2008.  Kinsler has to avoid injury, but other than that he’s a great power-speed combo. I’d like to see Kinsler show *it* for another year before giving him this spot, but I’m just not that high on Pedroia’s skill-set.

2. Dustin Pedroia – BOS Red Sox – 25 – Not the most talented guy, but he’s got a solid average and is in a great line-up.

3. Chase Utley – PHI Phillies – 30 - Utley starts the year out on the DL, and he’s starting to get old for a MI.  You should expect 3 or 4 more years of great power numbers.

4. Brandon Phillips – CIN Reds – 27 – Great Power / Speed combo, and so long as the Reds are mediocre, he’ll continue to swipe bags well into his early-to-mid thirties.  Great ballpark, and a maturing Bruce / Votto combo should start driving him in.

5. Alexei Ramirez – CHI White Sox – 27 - I couldn’t be more on the fence about Ramirez.  He ranks lower as a shortstop than a second basemen.  I tend to think that the Ramirez SS experience doesn’t last more than a year or so.  Ramirez reminds everyone of Alfonso Soriano, as he’ll swing at damn near anything.  If pitchers figure him out, he’ll be in trouble.

6. Dan Uggla – FLA Marlins – 29 - A Whole lotta power that’ll stick around for at least another 4 or 5 years. I dont know how many 100 R / 100 RBI seasons he’s got left in him though.

7. Howie Kendrick – LA Angels – 25 - Should eventually become a hitting machine. He’s a unique talent that just can’t stay healthy.  The Angels are a solid franchise, and although they’re aging — they’ll reload, allowing Kendrick to score boat-loads of runs.

8. Robbie Cano – NY Yankees – 26 - Cano should return to his .300+ ways, in which case he’ll be moved up a spot or two.  Wherever he hits, he’ll score ‘em and knock ‘em in. I’d like to see a couple months of the old Cano before I get too excited.

9. Kelly Johnson – ATL Braves – 27 - Should continue to develop as he matures.  Solid Braves line-up, and some power potential in there.

10. Jose Lopez – SEA Mariners – 25 – Young and talented, but I’m worried about him repeating his stellar 2008 season though.  Who knows how awful that Mariners line-up will be in 2009, let alone when Ichiro departs.

11. Brian Roberts – BAL Orioles – 31 - I’m not sure how much speed Roberts has left in those legs.  He’ll probably have a couple 30+ SB seasons left in ‘em, and the O’s line-up is improved enough to knock him in.  When he falls off though, he’s going to fall off hard and fast.  Roberts is one of the nicer guys in the big leagues, which is strange considering he was all up in that Mitchell Report.

12. Rickie Weeks – MIL Brewers – 26 - He’s got a year, maybe two, to put it all together.  Even if he doesn’t put it together, he’ll contribute steals and runs without hurting you *too* much.

13. Chone Figgins – LA Angels – 31 - Injuries starting to catch up to him, and who knows how long he’ll keep his second base eligibility. It’ll be nice to see what Figgins can do with a return to full health.  He’s been used sparingly, so he’s probably got a few more years left in those legs.

14. Ian Stewart – COL Rockies – 23 - Power potential + Plays in Coors.  That’s pretty much all you need to know.  He may fit better at 3rd, or in the outfield.  Lots of potential here though.

15. Matt Antonelli – SD Padres – 23 – First of the big-name prospects, Antonelli has had a rollercoaster ride in the Minors.  He still projects to be damn good though. Unfortunately, he plays in San Diego.

16. Alexi Casilla – MIN Twins – 24 – I like Alexi more than most, and he’ll bring a solid BA and SB numbers to the table.

17. Aaron Hill – TOR Blue Jays – 27 - If Aaron Hill picks up where he left off, he’ll mature into a second basemen with low-20′s HR power.  Post Concussion really sidetracked him, and who knows if he’ll ever be the same.

18. Mike Aviles – KC Royals – 28 – KC will be improved, but you’re drafting Aviles average which isn’t the safest bet.  Remember how Sanchez followed up his .330 BA season?  Always be hesitant drafting late bloomers.

19. Felipe Lopez – ARI Diamondbacks – 28 – Yah Yah Yah – I’m big on Lopez, You get it.

20. Eric Young Jr. – COL Rockies – 23 - Young’s stock has been more volatile than the DOW.  With an amazing Arizona Fall League, and Spring Training — Young’s back.  With Colorado’s outfield crowded with top-tier prospects, he may stick at 2nd.  He’s back in the minors for the time being though. When he gets the call, he’ll at least contribute to SB to start.

21. Absdrubal Cabrera – CLE Indians – 23 - He may take a while to mature, and you’re going to need patience.  He could show flashes as soon as this year. He’s a solid sleeper this year, and a great buy-low keeper option.

22. Chris Getz – CHI White Sox – 25 – If he was guarenteed the job, he’d be higher.  Dustin Pedroia brought scrappy, unathletic, slow, short, white-dude back in style and Getz should cash in.  All Getz has to do is fight off Nix and Lillibridge.

23. Aki Iwamura – TB Rays – 30 - He’ll score 100 runs for the next couple years.

24. Alberto Callaspo – KC Royals – 25 - I thought the D-Backs would hold onto Callaspo; alas he’s part of the KC mess at 2b.  He might project as a better UTIL player than an everyday player but there’s upside in there, somewhere.

25. Mark DeRosa – CLE Indians – 34 - A solid bet for a year or two of solid production.  Not 2008-type production, but production.

26. Anderson Hernandez – WAS Nationals – 26 – I’m not sure how this mess turns out, but it’ll have minimum value for the next couple years unless Hernandez rises to the top of the newly potent Nats line-up.

27. Eric Patterson – OAK Athletics – 25 - Probably projects as an outfielder, but the A’s were wise to nab him from the Cubs. Patterson was recently optioned, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get the call as soon as this year.

28. Orlando Hudson – LA Dodgers – 31 – He’s in a solid line-up, and he’ll contribute for maybe a year and a half.  Realistically, Hudson could go anywhere from 23rd to 30th.

29. Kaz Matsui – HOU Astros – 33 - No more anal fissures.  He’ll hit for a decent average, score runs and steal bases.  Nice filler while you wait on the next big thing.

30. Emmanuel Burriss – SF Giants – 24 - Lots of Speed, but’ll probably have to battle tooth and nail for the 2B job.  We’ll see soon enough… Bruce Bochy announces the winner tomorrow, I believe.

31. Placido Polanco – DET Tigers – 33 - Detroit’s got a solid line-up, and I think Polanco has another year and a bit left in it.  He’ll hit for a good average and score runs. Second Base gets old in a hurry.

32. Freddy Sanchez – PIT Pirates – 31 - Paying for batting average is the last thing I’d do.  If the LaRoche brothers somehow transform into the steroid era bash brothers, then maybe Sanchez will have long-term value.

33. Mike Fontenot – CHI Cubs – 28 - Fontenot or Miles, they’ll probably split the job until a Free Agent comes in.  Both of their values are thrown in the trash because of the time-share.

34. Blake DeWitt – LA Dodgers – 23 - I’m assuming he’ll eventually come in at third-base, rather than second. Should be an above average UTIL guy, with a season of two worth of starter’s production.

35. Jerry Hairston Jr. – CIN Reds – 32 - Cheapo steals and average this year.

36. Luis Valbuena – CLE Indians – 24 - Keep an eye out.

37. Clint Barmes – COL Rockies – 30 - Boring.

38. Mark Ellis – OAK Athletics – 31 - Ditto.

39. Willy Aybar – TAM Rays – 26 – There’s actually some value in Aybar’s versatility, but he’s not a keeper.

40. Kevin Frandsen – SF Giants – 26 - I don’t think he keeps the job for more than a year, or a month, or a month, or a week.

41. Travis Denker – SD Padres – 23 - Antonelli has it, but keep an eye out.


Skip Schumaker – STL Cardinals – 29 - Skip’s been working out at second base all spring and if he lands the job, which he should, he’ll be able to contribute.  I wouldn’t feel bad about putting him in the Mid-to-High Teens.

Mark Teahan – KC Royals – 27 - There’s no way he sticks at 2B.  He’s athletic as hell, and has a good arm — but he’ll need some serious seasoning to pick the position up.  If he does, he has above average power and is in an improving Royals line-up.  Low-20s.

Chris Getz

Blue Jays’ Aaron Hill vs. White Sox Chris Getz

March 29, 2009 by kris · Leave a Comment 

This is a good one, and I’m glad someone asked it.  Both of these players should contribute to plenty of fantasy teams in deep leagues, and have the potential to possibly even contribute to teams in shallow leagues — if everything goes well.

What we’re dealing with here is two late blooming second basemen, who both have a shot at contributing for 5 or so more years.  Hill’s coming in at 27 this year, and Getz will be 26 by the end of the year.

hillAaron Hill’s been Toronto’s second basemen since essentially 2005, but has had his career thrown off course by post-concussion syndrome. As an added bonus, Aaron Hill enters the batters box to Ozzy Osbourne’s Iron Man which strangely enough provides an epic backdrop for my howls of  “I AM AARON HILL, lalalalala, AARON HILL”.

Chris Getz on the other hand is in a battle with former Braves prospect, Brett Lillibridge and equally as uninspiring Jayson Nix.  Jayson Nix appeared to have the edge on Getz until an injury side-lined him until late-April, early-May. Now it appears as though Getz has the second base job, with Cuban phenom, Alexei Ramirez switching from second base to shortstop.

Both Hill and Getz have a distinct risk of missing large chunks of playing time; Hill has his head, and Getz has competition for the job.

Batting Average and On-Base Percentage

Aaron Hill is easier to predict, as he’s had a good amount of Major League at-bats. Hill had posted consecutive .291 seasons in 2006 & 2007 before his disastrous 2008 season of hitting .263.

If Hill has returned to full health, we’re looking at a .285 hitter that’ll probably start off slow as he re-adjusts after missing nearly 100 games last year.

Other than Getz’s 2006 season in AA, he’s proven he’s a .300 hitter in the minors. He’s a scrappy little hitter that’ll probably come close to hitting .275-.280 in the show.

Both Hill and Getz walk at a rate of between 7 and 10 percent, and strike-out an acceptable 14-15% of the time.  What little room Getz gives up in batting average, he makes up for in walk-rate.  Hill and Getz should post similar .335-.345 OBP in 2009.

Home Runs and Slugging Percentage

While Aaron Hill displayed average power from the second base spot in 2007 posting 17-HR, he’s much more likely to display low-teens home-run power in 2009.  The same holds true for Getz, who’s career high was 11-HR in 404 AAA at-bats last year.

Hill gets the edge based solely on potential, as it wouldn’t surprise anyone to see Hill top 15 home runs again, in 2009.

Counting Stats, Runs and RBI

getzI’m predicting Doom and Gloom for the Toronto Blue Jays this year, but Hill should at least put up half-decent Run totals with Wells, Rios, and Lind following him in the line-up.  A healthy Scott Rolen would mean a lot to this line-up, but when was the last time Scott Rolen was healthy?

The back-end of the Jays line-up will be hit and miss throughout the year, which’ll be reflected in Hill’s RBI totals.  The Blue Jays line-up is solid, but not spectacular in a division that is filled with about 10 different aces, not counting Roy Halladay. I tend to think that facing Sabathia, Burnett, Wang, Beckett, Dice-K, Kazmir, Shields with the possibilities of Price, Smoltz, Bucholz and a healthy Andy Petitte is going to negatively effect all of the Blue Jays’ and Orioles’ stat-lines this year.

A fair expectation for Hill, assuming he sticks at the front-end of the Jays line-up is about 75-80 Runs, with 65-70RBI.

Christopher Getz on the other hand, could realistically bat anywhere in that aging, but nevertheless loaded, White Sox line-up. If Getz can bat early, he’ll be followed by Quentin, Dye, Thome, Konerko. With both Orlando Cabrera and Nick Swisher gone, the lead-off and number two spots in the line-up are up for grabs.

Brian Anderson is realistically the only other guy that could hit lead-off for this club, and he’s projected to get on base at a .300-clip.  Alexei Ramirez’s free swinging ways will have him hitting .290 but barely getting on-base greater than a .325 clip. It really looks like Chris Getz will bat in the 1 or 2 spot, if he can hold off Lillibridge and more importantly Nix.

If Getz does bat early in this line-up, expect big numbers. The possibility of 85 Runs scored in 140 Games is a very real one. If Getz can get on base, the crew behind him should be able to knock him home.  The RBI totals should be equally as solid with the back-end up the White Sox’s line-up consisting of Josh Fields, A.J. Pierzynski, or Brian Anderson.  I’d set my sites on 65 RBI, assuming Getz manages to hold onto the job all year.

Getz has a solid shot of matching Orlando Cabrera’s numbers from last year, as he hits for about the same average, gets on-base at about the same clip, and slugs at around the same percentage. Getz doesn’t possess Cabrera’s speed, but I doubt it’ll effect his scoring ability.

Getz also isn’t a whiney little bastard child, who tries to pan errors off on other players.

Cabrera’s numbers were 93R and 57 RBI, while he only got on-base at a .334 clip which Getz could easily eclipse.

America’s Midwest: Speed Capital of the Universe.

Getz has a clear-cut advantage in this category, as he’s predicted to steal 10 to 15 bases assuming he can get to the 400AB mark.  Aaron Hill while not slow,  will top out at about 10-12 stolen bases with a more aggressive Cito Gaston at the helm. A much more realistic projection is about 6 to 7 SB.

What little advantage Hill has in home-runs, he gives back in the speed department.  Realistically Getz and Hill with both put up mid-20′s combined HR and SB.

If Getz can keep hold of the job the entire year, 20+ SB isn’t out of the question.  Guillen’s allowing him run this spring, leading to Getz stealing 4 and only getting caught once.

Conclusion

This one’s a mess.  The second base position on the White Sox will outpace Aaron Hill by a good amount in 3 of the 5 categories, with the other two categories probably being a wash.

The problem posed however, is that the battle for the White Sox starting second base job is still quite uncertain.  It looks like Getz will at least start the year off as the full-time starter, but when Nix gets healthy the competition will resume.  Alexei Ramirez isn’t exactly stellar at shortstop, and Chicago’s offense is already loaded, which leads me to believe Ozzie Guillen may opt for a defensive second basemen. If Ramirez struggles in the field, there’s even the potential for Lillibridge to man short with Ramirez switching back to second.

Aaron Hill on the other hand, has displayed the potential to be rosterable in a 12-team mixed league, with 20-HR pop and a .290 average. However, the Blue Jays line-up just isn’t as enticing as the Sox.

Getz and Hill actually form a moderately successful platoon in deeper leagues, where drafting both is a solid strategy.  If Getz takes off as the starter for Chicago, feel free to drop Hill. Otherwise, Hill leaves you with a solid, predictable, second baseman to fill the hole.  Hill’s concussion problems have plagued him, but he’s went through spring training without any major headaches, or nausea.

Getz has posted a very solid .308/.379/.423 spring training with 1 HR and 4SB in 52 AB.  Hill on the other hand, whose Spring Training stats mean far less, has posted a .268/.362/.439 with 0 HR and 1SB in 41AB.

When comparing these two, you’ve got to ask yourself whether or not Getz can get to 120-140 games as the starter.  Even if Getz can hold down the job for 120 games; His numbers plus the numbers of the waiver-wire bait you pick up to fill the other 40 games will probably eclipse Hill.

If you’re thinking about Hill vs. Getz, you’re obviously in a fairly deep league; So it may make sense to hedge your bets and take the safer Aaron Hill.  If you have a propensity for risk though, or you’ve minimized your risk elsewhere — Getz is the pick.

In shallow leagues, where you’re looking for a high-risk / high-reward pick, Getz is also the pick.

By the way, what is the possessive of Sox...Sox? or Sox's?
Photo Courtesy of mlb.com
Chris Getz

ESPN 2009 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Examining Second Basemen.

March 17, 2009 by kris · Leave a Comment 

ESPN seems to have some glaring holes in the second basemen rankings, so here’s your cup of tea for the day.

RANK OVR Name Team Position(s) Mixed $ AL/NL $ UPDOWN
1 14 Dustin Pedroia BOS 2B 28 27
There’s no arguing with Pedroia at 1, but I wouldn’t expect a repeat of 2008. Pedroia doesn’t strike the same fear you’d expect from an MVP. 14th overall seems right, but second base has a lot of value this year.
2 16 Chase Utley PHI 2B 26 27
If Utley comes in healthy, and gets at least a little time under his belt prior to the season – he’s number one. Utley has about 3 weeks of the season to take off, before I’d drop him below Brandon Phillips and crew.
3 25 Ian Kinsler TEX 2B 22 26
The little guy cannot stay healthy, at all. He’s a superb talent that can’t seem to play a whole season. Obviously, you’re going to have to rank Kinsler based on the depth of your league. If you can fill the 25 or so games that Kinsler will miss with a half-decent player, then Kinsler might just be the best fantasy option at second base. As a player, I like him more than Pedroia but less than Utley.
4 34 Brandon Phillips CIN 2B 17 23
Phillips brings everything except batting average, which he should hike up to at least .270ish this year. Phillips is a given for 20/20 with the possibility of 25/25 or even 25/30! The Reds should be a blast to watch this year, and having Phillips on your team will at least keep things fun.
5 38 Brian Roberts BAL 2B 16 24
At least the Orioles think that Roberts has something left in the tank, giving him a new multi-year deal. Roberts leaves a little bit to be desired in the power category but more than makes up for it with SB numbers. He went for 50 a couple years ago, and 40 last year. Like the Reds, the O’s are stacked with young talent and should be fun to watch. I figure Roberts will miss 40 SB by a couple.
6 62 Alexei Ramirez CHW 2B 13 21
Ramirez is the most interesting of the bunch, as he seems to have all the potential in the world. He could easily finish the season as the top second baseman in the league. Not often do you get a player outside the top-50, that has the potential to jump up into the top-15. Here’s the problem with Ramirez: He Swings at Everything and gets caught stealing way too much. Ramirez’s numbers will drop once pitchers completely clue into Ramirez’s hacking ways, and whether or not Ramirez can adjust remains up in the air. Ramirez hit 20 HR and stole 13 bases in limited playing time last year. He was unfortunately caught stealing 9 times. Is 30HR and 25 SB a possibility for Ramirez? A Resounding Yes. Could he also fall flat on his face? Indeed.
7 91 Dan Uggla FLA 2B 9 18 Down
Uggla posted a career high strike-out rate last year, striking out nearly one third of the time. Thankfully, he also improved upon his walk rate, negating much of the increase. Uggla’s BA is going to kill you, as he’s bound to come in somewhere between .250 and .260. You’re either going to have to punt batting average, or draft a low-HR-high-AVG player in a typical power position. If you can get 20HR and a good AVG out of a player like that, you’ll have two players with about 50 HR between them, to go with a .280 AVG. That’s not bad, and you’ll probably be getting your money’s worth.
8 109 Robinson Cano NYY 2B 7 18 Up
Robbie started off terribly last year, and playing in the stacked Yankees line-up will definitely help his counting stats. Most of Cano’s value will come from his AVG, or how often he gets on base. Throw Cano’s .270 AVG of 2008 out the window, and remember he used to hit .340.
9 118 Howie Kendrick LAA 2B 7 17
Kendrick will get hurt, but the kid can hit. He’s in a good line-up and he’s approaching the age when things start to click. Kendrick’s a good boom/bust but Anaheim is stacked in youngins that can play the MI positions.
10 126 Placido Polanco DET 2B 6 17 Down
Polanco is boring, but Detroit will be improved. Polanco doesn’t do the sexy things, but he hits for average and scores runs. A safety pick that brings about 10 HR, 10SB, a Boatload of Runs and RBI and a .300+ average. People will draft the guys after Polanco before him, because their ceiling is higher – If you want a safe pick though, Polanco’s your man. Nice pick here for ESPN.
11 143 Jose Lopez SEA 2B 5 16
Lopez has been raking all spring, and a repeat of last year’s numbers seems a very safe bet. Can Lopez step up and reach the 20 HR mark? I’m banking on yes. Lopez’s average will drop but the power numbers should go up. He is in a fairly terrible offense though, so whether or not he brings elite R & RBI is still in question.
12 159 Mike Aviles KC 2B/SS 4 15 Down
I’m not an Aviles fan, and I think this is still too high. I love the Royals this year, but Aviles is a bit old to be a rookie in my book.
13 175 Mark DeRosa CLE 2B/3B/OF 3 14
DeRosa started out as a fairly sexy pick, and has returned to where he probably should be valued. He had a career year last year, and while I wouldn’t expect a complete repeat – there’s still good value here.
14 185 Rickie Weeks MIL 2B 2 13
It’s Rickie’s last shot, and I think he goes hog-wild on the basepaths. Alcides Escobar is breathing down the neck of whomever falters in the infield. Rickie Weeks and the next couple guys showcase the benefits of waiting on a second baseman and then grabbing a couple high-risk players and hoping one pans out.
15 187 Kelly Johnson ATL 2B 2 13
Kelly Johnson does what he does and does it well. He’s not spectacular, nor does he play in an incredible line-up, but he still has value. The .5 BB:K ratio isn’t awful, but he could cut down on his 20+ percent K Rate. BABIP says expect a downturn in AVG. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him up the ante on last years 12HR. 15Ish? 17?
16 196 Felipe Lopez ARI 2B 1 13 Up
My favourite sleeper this year. Lopez should be hitting near the top of that stacked Diamondback line-up. The deal with Lopez is he only plays when he wants to, so his stats tend to lie. Remember, it was only 2 years ago that Lopez stole 44 Bases.
17 222 Freddy Sanchez PIT 2B 1 12 Down
The Pirates are improving but Sanchez’s value is based on his batting average. If you can predict BA, then you can go ahead and rank Sanchez wherever you please. If he hits .330 again, he’ll be a steal. The improvement in the Pirates give Sanchez a bit of lee-way, as he could well score 90-95 Runs.
18 223 Orlando Hudson LAD 2B 1 12
Hudson and the Dodgers. I’d move him up. He’ll be in a great line-up and I’m starting to think he bats early in the line-up rather than late in it. With Kemp, Manny and Loney behind him he’s just gotta get on base. I’d take him over Sanchez any day.
19 253 Kazuo Matsui HOU 2B $- 12
Matsui is starting to get up there in age but he stole 20 bases in under 400 AB in 2008. Matsui’s nearly .300 average last year, made him a steal. He probably won’t repeat the average, but a slight increase in steals if he plays a full season is very realistic. The possibility of 30SB to go with a .280 AVG is pretty appealing at this point.
20 258 Mark Ellis OAK 2B $- 11
Ellis had a very solid year last year, and Oakland has went out and re-loaded this off-season. With the maturation of Travis Buck, Daric Barton and the addition of Matt Holliday, and Jason Giambi; Oakland should be a very solid offense. Expect Ellis to quietly put up solid numbers.
21 268 Akinori Iwamura TAM 2B $- 10
He’ll put up damn near 100 runs to go with a solid batting average. You get what you pay for.
22 294 Mike Fontenot CHC 2B $- 9
Fontenot should get the job, but Aaron Miles is right there. If either of these two can get to 550AB, they’re in a good enough offense to outperform their draft spot. Pick 300 seems about right for the higher-upside Fontenot.
23 295 Clint Barmes COL 2B/SS $- 8 Down
I’m not a Barmes fan, mainly because I love Ian Stewart so. You could do worse at this point, but this tier of second basemen is very deep.
24 299 Asdrubal Cabrera CLE 2B/SS $- 9 Up
I’m high on Cabrera, and Cleveland in general. I wouldn’t have any problem putting Cabrera in Aviles spot, but anyone from 15 to 5 Dollars has the possibility to preform.
25 323 Aaron Hill TOR 2B $- 8
Aaron Hill is a steal at this point if he plays all year. Post Concussion Syndrome is a bitch, though. The Jays have a solid, yet not spectacular, offense. Hill will probably outperform his peers.
26 334 Luis Castillo NYM 2B $- 7 Down
He has the second base job, but I wouldn’t touch him with a 10 foot pole. At this point, the speed has gone and while he may have a resurgence in a decent Mets line-up, I wouldn’t expect too much.
27 378 Emmanuel Burriss SF 2B/SS $- 6
Speed, Speed, Speed, Kelly Fransden. Burriss needs to find a spot to play to be valuable. He’s definitely worth a late round flyer based on speed alone. Same goes for Velez. The Giants are going to have to manufacture runs this year, which means speed on the basepaths.
28 394 Maicer Izturis LAA 2B/SS $- 6
I’m not sure how Maicer falls into this spot with the Kendrick Ranking. Maybe he’s a solid fill-in, maybe he only gets 300 AB.
29 413 Anderson Hernandez WAS 2B $- 5
Hernandez is someone I’d take over the previous few guys. He’s got the starting gig in a good Nats line-up and he’ll steal bases even if he gets caught. The power wont be there, but at this point what can you expect. Most of the Robots have him coming in at .250, but I’d expect more in the range of the high-.260s, low-.270s and there’s always the chance of him maturing faster than expected.
30 424 Chris Getz CHW 2B $- 6 Up
Getz has been compared to Pedroia, at least in stature. I’m not certain as to why Getz has fallen so far in these rankings, but he definitely deserves to be higher in a good-line up that hits in a solid park. I bet he comes closer to 10 dollars than 6 dollars.
31 427 Ronnie Belliard WAS 2B/3B/1B $- 4 Down
Boring, and no place to play….yet. With his versatility, he’ll eventually find a place to play.
32 429 Blake DeWitt LAD 2B/3B $- 4 Down
Poor DeWitt. Blake’s got third, and Hudson was brought in to play second. The outfield is also packed. Someone’s gotta get hurt for DeWitt to produce.
33 460 Kevin Frandsen SF 2B $- 3
Boring, really boring. It’s hard to hype up Frandsen when you’re praying for Burriss or Velez to take his spot.
34 467 Aaron Miles CHC 2B/SS $- 3
Fontenot gets the job, but if you’re in a league this deep it makes sense to bet on Miles getting the job. Fontenot has some faults, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see Miles snag the job
35 473 Nick Punto MIN 2B/SS $- 3
Punto was hurt a lot by the signing of Crede but like Belliard, he has all sorts of versatility. I think Punto out preforms the previous couple guys all the way up to Chris Getz.
36 479 Jeff Baker COL 2B/1B $- 2
If Helton goes down as expected, Baker will find a place to play. Otherwise, Barmes, Stewart, Tulu, and Atkins will fill the infield spots.
37 488 Brendan Ryan STL 2B/SS $- 1
We’re getting into very boring land, and I’d much rather take a risky pick with this selection but 1 dollar is fair.
38 523 Brendan Harris MIN 2B/SS/3B $- 1
A starting gig and maturation should get Harris at least to a few bucks. He’s a steal this late.
39 526 Marco Scutaro TOR 2B/SS/3B $- 1 Up
Full time starter, in a decent offense is worth more than a buck. His average isn’t so awful that he’ll hurt you.
40 529 Eugenio Velez SF 2B $- 1 Up
Ditto Emmanuel Burriss.
41 548 Alexi Casilla MIN 2B $- 1 Way Up
Really, this is what’s up? Casilla is a beast, and I adore the man. What the hell is ESPN thinking? .280 AVG with 25-30SB and you’re ranking him 41st? I have him in the top 10!
42 683 Ronny Cedeno SEA 2B/SS $- 1
43 704 Ray Durham FA 2B $- $-
44 719 Adam Kennedy TAM 2B $- $-
45 722 Mark Grudzielanek FA 2B $- $-
46 730 Mark Loretta LAD 2B $- $-
47 738 Adrian Cardenas OAK 2B $- $-
48 739 Joe Inglett TOR 2B/OF $- $-
49 745 Alberto Callaspo KC 2B $- $- Up
I have trouble believing that Teahan can stick at 2nd.
50 746 Edgar Gonzalez SD 2B $- $-

Here’s the problem: ESPN released new rankings, and has people floating around all over the field but failed to mention the two guys that seem like a lock at second base.

Skip Schumaker – St. Louis Cardinals: Skip is a dirty dirty man, and has faired very well at second base.  While he only hit 8 HR, he went for 87R and 8 SB while batting above .300.  Right now, he looks like a glamorized Aki Iwamura, but just wait — he’ll be a top-10 2nd basemen.

Mark Teahan – Kansas City Royals: Teahan looked half-decent at the WBC playing third, and he’s got a great arm.  However, playing second base for the Royals has been a chore.  He keeps committing errors, and Collaspo is a fine replacement.  In a perfect fantasy world, Teahan would get enough bats at 2nd Base to gain eligibility and then return to the outfield.  His bat makes him roster-able as a second basemen, but not particularly an outfielder.

Matt Antonelli – San Diego Padres: Antonelli slept through the majority of the 2008 season, waking up occasionally to strike out.  However, this is still the uber-prospect who made 2007 his bitch.  Maybe he makes the big club out of camp, but he’ll probably spend some time down in the minors now that the Padres got the super-talented David Eckstein.  I’d still rather have Antonelli over the Joe Inglett’s of the world.

The Phillies Situation – Marcus Giles, WHAT? and Eric Bruntlett: Bruntlett is penciled in at every conceivable spot on the Phillies depth chart.  If Utley misses serious time, one of these two gents could actually have some value.  Marcus Giles? Yah, he’s in camp.  He used to be very good too, so if you’re in a deep deep league — take a flyer, maybe.

German Duran – Texas Rangers: There’s some upside here, but he only gets a shot if Kinsler hurts himself, which is guarenteed.  25 Games, it is.  If Kinsler ever goes down permenantly, Duran should be nabbed up in deeper leagues.

Eric Young Jr. – Colorado Rockies: He killed Arizona fall league pitching, and has been taking some practice at second base — maybe worth a shot.  If he gets a job in the outfield or at second, he’ll steal some.

Gordon Beckham – Chicago White Sox: As of today, Tuesday March 17th, Gordon Beckham is listed atop the White Sox depth chart at second base.  AWESOME.  Beckham was drafted last year, 8th overall and is just a wee lil child.  Anyways, if he starts he’s good enough, as raw as he is, to ball out.  It’ll be a roller-coaster ride though.  White Sox manager, Ozzie Guillen seems to think that Beckham shouldn’t be used as a UTIL man under any circumstances — which is stellar for Beckham’s development and his keeper league prospects.

Angel Berroa – New York Yankees: Here’s the deal, Cano had an MRI yesterday and it revealed bursitis of the shoulder.  This is not good, and there’s a good chance it’ll flare up again throughout the season.  Those little bursae sacs are bastards, and if Cano can’t go or Jeter gets hurt, Berroa steps in.  In that Yankee line-up, anyone can be successful.

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