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Tyler Matzek: 2009 Bowman Draft Picks and Prospects

December 1, 2009 by kris · 1 Comment 

BDPP93, Tyler Matzek of the Colorado Rockies, Bowman Chrome Autograph

Buy or Sell: This Might Blow Up (Sell..to Buy)

Projected Value: Great

I had a feeling that this might happen:  Matzek tops Baseball America’s list of Rockies Prospects.  This is kind of a bummer because the kid looked to slide by as a High+ type player, rather than a full-on superstar.

Matzek saw his value drop during draft day due to the dreaded “signability issue.”  Well, dreaded for baseball teams but terrific for people that invest cash in baseball cards.

The only question with this big lefty is his desire to be great.  Personally, I think the kid has it in ‘em to tear through the minors if Colorado lets ‘em go.  If they try and slow him down, preferring to actually teach him, rather than just usher him; Matzek might start sputtering.

The next question is Matzek’s value in Colorado.  There’s still a stigma surrounding Colorado, so you may actually get a shot to get his stuff 10% cheaper than you’d expect.

Christian Friederich ranked the number two prospect in Colorado’s system, and his red refractor sold for 76 dollars just the other week.

Matzek’s a step above Friederich, and his first Bowman Card’s going to be an autograph.  Combine that with the stir that’ll be caused by BA’s top 100 and the initial buzz of BDPP and you’ll have a card that you can sell now and probably get back in a little under a year for a better price.

Even if he starts in low-A, you’ll still have time to acquire the card before his name starts popping up in “the next big thing” conversations…

BDPP

Randal Grichuk: 2009 Bowman Draft Picks and Prospects

November 30, 2009 by kris · 1 Comment 

BDPP81, Randal Grichuk of the Anaheim Angels, Bowman Chrome Autograph

Buy or Sell: Wait and See (Probably Buying)

Projected Value: High+

Grichuk has something that people that buy cards love: “Power!”

Considering that Grichuk went into the Arizona Fall League as a seventeen year old, the youngest player in the league, he did quite well.

Unfortunately, his power numbers at 17 have begun driving his prices up.

Grichuk should sell well right out of the box, considering his power.

Grichuk’s flaws are noticeable and plentiful, but the groundwork’s definitely been laid for yearly improvement.  In the AFL, Grichuk struck out a tonne and will continue to do so, regardless of the minor changes.  The Angels are simply hoping he’ll curtail his 27% K-Rate and 0.14 BB:K Rate.

Lots of potential here, but the prices will largely determine whether or not Grichuk’s a Buy or Sell. It’s difficult to project exactly how much hype Grichuk will carry with him into the new Bowman DPP, but he’ll almost certainly find himself shooting up Baseball America’s board with refinement.

His frame is currently sporting some speed, but I’d like to see that replaced with opposite field power.  Right now, it seems as though his swing almost necessitates power to the pull field.

There’s definitely bust potential here, so try not to *over* pay.

BDPP

Matt Bashore: 2009 Bowman Draft Picks and Prospects

November 30, 2009 by kris · 1 Comment 

BDPP80, Matt Bashore of the Minnesota Twins, Bowman Chrome Autograph

Buy or Sell: Neither, really.

Projected Value: Medium

Coming into the season there was a fairly good shot that Bashore would end up drafted ahead of Arnett — That didn’t happen.  Bashore slide to the 46th overall spot and ended up signing for about 750K.

Bashore’s definitely going to have a hard time building up steam, but there’s still a chance.  If you can swing an unbelievable deal on his cards or just pull one, you’ve gotta keep it.  It’s not going to fetch enough money on the secondary market to warrant selling it unless you’re able to list it incredibly early.

With that in mind, Bashore’s still has size and pitching-hand going for him.  It’s not exactly easy to find big lefthanded starters, so the Twinkies will definitely invest time into the kid.

There’s definitely room to grow, and Bashore appears to have the right mindset but he’s a true prospect.

Bashore definitely leaves you wanting more.  He’s definitely capable of growth, but doesn’t quite have the flash or the polish on the breaking pitches that you’d like to see.

BDPP

Tony Sanchez: 2009 Bowman Draft Picks and Prospects

November 30, 2009 by kris · 1 Comment 

BDPP76, Tony Sanchez of the Pittsburgh Pirates, Bowman Chrome Autograph

Buy or Sell: Sell

Projected Value: Medium

Sanchez is an interesting prospect, but there are a couple of things working against the value of his cards in the long-term.

First off, Sanchez looks to be staying put in Pittsburgh for the foreseeable future.  New Pirates General Manager, Neal Huntington, seems to be on the right track to building a mid-market franchise with budget constraints.  Huntington probably won’t be around to see the majority of his maneuvers come to fruition, but the groundwork has been laid.

The move to draft Sanchez with the fourth overall pick in the 2009 MLB Draft was a bit questionable, but you have to admire a GM that puts his faith into the hands of the Scouting Director and takes a leap of faith.

Unfortunately, Sanchez’s early draft slot and high signing bonus will lead to an early overvaluation of his cards.

Sanchez has all of the tools to be an above average catcher in the big leagues, but his name shouldn’t be amongst the highlights of any checklist.  He had a terrific seasons in Low-A, where he showcased his potential.

Sanchez could make a claim for a promotion to Double-A early in the season.  He’s not afraid to take a walk, a skill that’s translated well from BC, and the power’s starting to come around.

You’re going to have issues making money of Sanchez, though.  People like to overpay for early first rounders and even if Sanchez hits the show before 2012, his cards will have a hard time standing up to fourth-overall selection prices.

BDPP

2009 Bowman Draft Picks and Prospects, Ranked and Rated.

November 29, 2009 by kris · Leave a Comment 

This is going to be a headache, but with the economy down and the checklist looking a weak, I’m going to do the unthinkable:  I’m going to share not only detailed reports, but also project the market values and steals for this year’s Bowman Draft Picks and Prospects baseball cards.

For the majority of fantasy baseball players outside of the insanely deep leagues, this’ll probably be worthless evaluation.  For the card collectors that like to purchase a card for ten dollars and re-sell it for 50, this might be useful.

Here’s the Checklist (courtesy of CardboardConnection.com.)  It’s a preliminary checklist, but I’ll update it as new information becomes available.

Card Number Player Additional Notes
BDPP1 Tanner Bushue
BDPP2 Billy Hamilton
BDPP3 Enrique Hernandez
BDPP4 Virgil Hill
BDPP5 Josh Hodges
BDPP6 Michael Taylor
BDPP7 Nick Lockwood
BDPP8 Jobduan Morales
BDPP9 Anthony Morris
BDPP10 Telvin Nash
BDPP11 Brooks Pounders
BDPP12 Kyle Rose
BDPP13 Seth Schwindenhammer
BDPP14 Patrick Lehman
BDPP15 Mathew Weaver
BDPP16 Brian Dozier
BDPP17 Sequoyah Stonecipher
BDPP18 Shannon Wilkerson
BDPP19 Justin Bloxom
BDPP20 Jamie Johnson
BDPP21 Christopher Lovett
BDPP22 Bryson Namba
BDPP23 Aaron Northcraft
BDPP24 Benjamin Carlson
BDPP25 Brock Holt
BDPP26 Ben Orloff
BDPP27 Christopher Sedon
BDPP28 Erik Castro
BDPP29 Ryan Sasaki
BDPP30 Cory Burns
BDPP31 Chris Wade
BDPP32 David Washington
BDPP33 Naoya Washiya
BDPP34 Brandt Walker
BDPP35 Jordan Henry
BDPP36 Austin Adams
BDPP37 Andrew Bellatti
BDPP38 Paul Applebee
BDPP39 Robert Stock
BDPP40 Michael Flacco
BDPP41 Johnathan Meyer
BDPP42 Cody Rogers
BDPP43 Matt Heidenreich
BDPP44 David Holmberg
BDPP45 Mycal Jones
BDPP46 David Hale
BDPP47 Dusty Odenbach
BDPP48 Robert Hefflinger
BDPP49 Buddy Baumann
BDPP50 Thomas Berryhill
BDPP51 Darrell Ceciliani
BDPP52 Derek McCallum
BDPP53 Taylor Freeman
BDPP54 Tyler Townsend
BDPP55 Tobias Streich
BDPP56 Ryan Jackson
BDPP57 Chris Herrmann
BDPP58 Robert Shields
BDPP59 Devin Fuller
BDPP60 Brad Stillings
BDPP61 Ryan Goins
BDPP62 Chase Austin
BDPP63 Brett Nommensen
BDPP64 Egan Smith
BDPP65 Daniel Mahoney
BDPP66 Darin Gorski
BDPP67 Dustin Dickerson
BDPP68 Victor Black
BDPP69 Dallas Keuchel
BDPP70 Nate Baker
BDPP71 Jeremy Barnes
BDPP72 Brian Moran
BDPP73 Nicholas Hernandez
BDPP74 Lance Durham
BDPP75 Adam Buschini
BDPP76 Tony Sanchez Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP77 Eric Arnett Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP78 Tim Wheeler Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP79 Matt Hobgood Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP80 Matt Bashore Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP81 Randal Grichuk Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP82 A.J. Pollock Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP83 Reymond Fuentes Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP84 Jiovanni Mier Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP85 Chad Jenkins Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP86 Zack Wheeler Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP87 Mike Minor Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP88 Jared Mitchell Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP89 Mike Trout Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP90 Alex White Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP91 Bobby Borchering Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP92 Chad James Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP93 Tyler Matzek Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP94 Max Stassi Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP95 Drew Storen Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP96 Brad Boxberger Bowman Chrome Autograph
BDPP97 Mike Leake Bowman Chrome Autograph

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