In terms of evaluation, Troy Tulowitzki is a special case. Tulowitzki’s only hit a single homer in 2010 after knocking out thirty-two in 2009; something’s definitely wrong, but try to find evidence of it. Better yet, try to put that evidence into a meaningful context.
It’s obviously a timing problem, whether it’s injury or rust, but realistically the only statement we can make is Troy Tulowitzki is just missing the sweet-spot.
The plate discipline statistics are constant, as are the walks and strike-outs. Tulowitzki’s swinging and making contact at the same percentages as last year, regardless of pitch position.
Tulowitzki’s recent MRI on his wrist came up clean but he was obviously battling an ailment and the corresponding pain. Troy Tulowitzki just doesn’t look right and I wouldn’t be surprised to see future trips to the DL.
It was probably a bit of a gamble to expect Tulo to duplicate his 18.5% HR/FB rate from 2009 but no one expected a 2.6% rate, let alone a 23.7 Infield Fly Ball Percentage. Tulowitzki’s line-drives and fly-balls are both down with grounders gaining 10 full percentage points.
From the day that you drafted Tulowitzki, you were never going to get full trade-value for him as the HR were unsustainable but now you’re in a jam. Tulowitzki is either:
a) injured and maybe it’s time to shop him for 75-cents on the dollar.
b) all better, timing’s worked out, and he’ll return to his previous self.
I think that you’ve got to hold onto him if he’s on your roster but whether or not I’d actively try to acquire him is uncertain. At this point, it’s not a bad idea to go after Tulowitzki if you’re team’s not performing all that well. Go Big or Go Bust, after all, right?
