Comments on: Gettin’ Lucky, An Article About Pitching, Not Josh Hamilton. http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2009/08/gettin-lucky-an-article-about-pitching-not-josh-hamilton/ Free Fantasy Magazine: Save Yourself Eight Bucks. Tue, 02 Aug 2011 17:25:39 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Adam http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2009/08/gettin-lucky-an-article-about-pitching-not-josh-hamilton/comment-page-1/#comment-4438 Adam Tue, 11 Aug 2009 17:39:01 +0000 http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/?p=1750#comment-4438 yeah good point about the schedule...the only problem with Wandy is that you won't get a whole lot of value in a trade in the types of leagues I play in. I've tried to trade him a few times and every time I was getting anything of real value in return..so it seems he is just one of those guys that you just hold onto and enjoy the surprising year. The same goes for guys like Adam Lind, Greinke, Hill etc. Nobody is going to give you top dollar for those guys because they simply don't trust what they are doing. yeah good point about the schedule…the only problem with Wandy is that you won’t get a whole lot of value in a trade in the types of leagues I play in. I’ve tried to trade him a few times and every time I was getting anything of real value in return..so it seems he is just one of those guys that you just hold onto and enjoy the surprising year.
The same goes for guys like Adam Lind, Greinke, Hill etc. Nobody is going to give you top dollar for those guys because they simply don’t trust what they are doing.

]]> By: kris http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2009/08/gettin-lucky-an-article-about-pitching-not-josh-hamilton/comment-page-1/#comment-4429 kris Tue, 11 Aug 2009 13:48:30 +0000 http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/?p=1750#comment-4429 Hey Adam, thanks for the comments and I agree with you for the most part. Statistics constitute about 30 to 40 percent of the entire equation in most of my decisions. Too many people tend to forget the simplistic part of why players are under, or over-performing expectations. Stuff like schedule, and just general improvement. While Wandy's been lucky, I can almost certainly guarantee you that his success or failure the rest of the way home will depend more on his schedule than anything else. As for his road-woes, I've just started assuming that he's been hittin' the clubs and leaving the wife behind every time he goes out on a road-trip. There's no other reason to explain such a drastic drop-off. People tend to forget just how often statistical outlying seasons occur. Wandy's completely capable of keeping his ERA sub-3.00 for the rest of the season, but the law of averages may come back to bite him in the ass. Houston appears to be playing 2 more series on the road than at home, and they've got a fairly rough schedule, so: If I could 3.50ish ERA, 1.20 WHIP and around the same K-Rate from someone I could acquire in a Wandy deal, I'd probably pull the trigger. Hey Adam, thanks for the comments and I agree with you for the most part. Statistics constitute about 30 to 40 percent of the entire equation in most of my decisions. Too many people tend to forget the simplistic part of why players are under, or over-performing expectations.

Stuff like schedule, and just general improvement. While Wandy’s been lucky, I can almost certainly guarantee you that his success or failure the rest of the way home will depend more on his schedule than anything else. As for his road-woes, I’ve just started assuming that he’s been hittin’ the clubs and leaving the wife behind every time he goes out on a road-trip. There’s no other reason to explain such a drastic drop-off.

People tend to forget just how often statistical outlying seasons occur. Wandy’s completely capable of keeping his ERA sub-3.00 for the rest of the season, but the law of averages may come back to bite him in the ass.

Houston appears to be playing 2 more series on the road than at home, and they’ve got a fairly rough schedule, so:

If I could 3.50ish ERA, 1.20 WHIP and around the same K-Rate from someone I could acquire in a Wandy deal, I’d probably pull the trigger.

]]> By: Adam http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/2009/08/gettin-lucky-an-article-about-pitching-not-josh-hamilton/comment-page-1/#comment-4428 Adam Tue, 11 Aug 2009 13:08:42 +0000 http://www.freefantasymagazine.com/?p=1750#comment-4428 It's to the point in fantasy where you can't be happy owning anyone anymore. Can't guys just have a good season and that be the end of it..without all this over hyped BABIP and FIP and strand % mumbo-jumbo trying to explain away the success they are having. People have been trying to say Wandy was going to fall off for the past two months now...and still he continues to pitch like a tier 1 pitcher. At some point when September rolls around and he's still getting it done you just have to tip your cap to the guy and realize he may just have turned the corner....and it's not like it came out of no where...the guy has been on the rise steadily for two years now and this season he's finally cured the problems he had on the road, for the most part. It’s to the point in fantasy where you can’t be happy owning anyone anymore. Can’t guys just have a good season and that be the end of it..without all this over hyped BABIP and FIP and strand % mumbo-jumbo trying to explain away the success they are having.
People have been trying to say Wandy was going to fall off for the past two months now…and still he continues to pitch like a tier 1 pitcher. At some point when September rolls around and he’s still getting it done you just have to tip your cap to the guy and realize he may just have turned the corner….and it’s not like it came out of no where…the guy has been on the rise steadily for two years now and this season he’s finally cured the problems he had on the road, for the most part.

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