Positional Rankings, shortstop rankings

Fantasy Baseball Shortstop (SS) Rankings for 2009

The Fantasy Shortstop Position for the 2009 Fantasy Baseball season is deep enough.  There’s some solid value, and its incredibly top heavy — so you’ll pretty much get what you pay for.

If you’re lucky enough to get Hanley Ramirez, congrats.  Otherwise, it might be best to load up elsewhere and take a few high risk / reward type guys later in the draft.

As always, everything depends on your draft settings and league size.

1. Hanley Ramirez – Florida Marlins

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Hanley Ramirez	589	33	35	125	67	0.301	0.4	0.54	0.75	0.94

I cannot see a reason to not take Hanley Ramirez first overall. The freedom he gives you by combining HR/SB into a 30 / 30 season is unbelievable.

He’s young as hoot, but still has a .75 BB / K ratio to go with a .400 OBP and .940 OPS. There’s nothing to dislike here, except the team he’s on and ballpark he’s in.

He’ll continue to run so long as he plays on a bad team, and the Marlins lack of success may actually help Ramirez in the fantasy world.

2. Jose Reyes – New York Mets

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Jose Reyes	688	16	56	113	68	0.297	0.358	0.475	0.8	0.833

After Reyes, there’s a huge drop off. Hanley Ramirez and Jose Reyes have proven to be legitimate first round picks who are guaranteed, pretty much, to stay healthy.

They’re both young, uber prospects, that don’t have that much wear on the tires.  Reyes, hopefully will throw 50-60 SB on the board this year.

Scouts have said that Reyes WILL develop power since double-A, single-A? Since a damn long time ago. As I dont enjoy disagreeing with scouts, especially when they start saying “5-tool player” — I’mma go ahead and finally mark Jose Reyes down for 24 HR and 50 Steals this  year.

3. Jimmy Rollins – Philadelphia Phillies

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Jimmy Rollins	556	11	47	76	59	0.277	0.349	0.437	1.05	0.786

Rollins is just as good as the previous two, well almost.  He’s older, and more injury prone and had a shit-eating average last year, considering what owners expected (about .290)

The 47 stolen bases kept owners from mass-suicide last year, as Rollins only played in 137 games last year after about 7 years of 154 games, or more!

If Rollins stays healthy, he’s easily a late first round pick.  He’s a good risk/reward type guy in the early rounds, but isn’t the whole point of the early rounds, minimizing your risk?  That’s why you didn’t take Pujols first overall last year, right?

4. Stephen Drew – Arizona Diamondbacks

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Stephen Drew	611	21	3	91	67	0.291	0.333	0.502	0.38	0.836

You’re going to get, what you get.  Improvement will come with some movement in the batting order, along with the slight maturation you’d expect from a overly-hyped Drew brother.

You’re going to know pretty quickly what you’ve gotten with Stephen Drew.  Is he going to regress to his rookie-average of about .250? Or will Stephen Drew keep on, keeping on — rolling on with at least a .285 average.

No one will doubt that Drew’s got talent, but he’s got to keep his K rate below 20%

5. Johnny Peralta – Cleveland Indians

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Jhonny Peralta	605	23	3	104	89	0.276	0.331	0.473	0.38	0.804

It looks like Peralta is a surefire bet for 20HR this season, after years of potential without results. Peralta finally cut down on his strike-out rate, which lead to an across the board improvement.  After years of a 25% rate of strike-outs, Peralta lowered it to a *reasonable* 20 percent.

2006 is starting to look like an aberration at this point rather than your regular Jhonny Peralta, which is a good deal for Peralta owners in dynasty leagues.

Cleveland should be interesting, to say the least, this year.  While I’m not certain as to whether or not Peralta will score 100+ runs again this year, he should do fine.  90 Runs and 90 RBI seems likely, if Peralta continues to bat in the top half of the line-up.

His strike-out rate will limit him to either the third, fifth, or sixth spot in the line-up — I’d imagine.  Peralta provides a good deal of value in the second tier of fantasy shortstops, and if you’re going to grab your stolen bases elsewhere — Peralta is a damn good deal, right here.

6. Rafael Furcal – Los Angeles Dodgers

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Rafael Furcal	143	5	8	34	16	0.357	0.439	0.573	1.18	1.012

Per Plate Appearance, Rafael Furcal had probably the best fantasy season out of all of the shortstops.  Unfortunately, Furcal only managed 143 AB to start and end the 2008 season.

I suppose this would be another referendum on whether or not you think Furcal will get to 140 Games played.  If Furcal plays, he’s going to put up super-shortstop numbers, and probably compete with the best in the business.

Thirty-Five Stolen Bases to go with 20 Home Runs isn’t out of the question, as Furcal is a marvelous talent.  In Los Angeles, particularly if Manny Ramirez is signed, Furcal will put up great Run totals, which is generally required from your MI.

Furcal is a great  boom/bust prospect to combine with a safety-pick later in the draft.  You can live with someone like Nick Punto for 250 AB, if you get 400 AB from Furcal.

7. Troy Tulowitzki – Colorado Rockies

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Troy Tulowitzki	377	8	1	48	46	0.263	0.332	0.401	0.68	0.732

Tulo was probably the most dissappointing fantasy draft-pick of all, last year.  He eventually put everything together around the end of the season and started putting up at least half decent numbers.

As with all of the younger shortstops, Tulowitzki is going to have some serious ups and downs.  Unlike the other shortstops though, Troy Tulowitzki’s glove will keep him in the line-up through slumps.  This is both good and bad: He’ll have a chance to fight through the slumps, but he’ll also put up some awful numbers and possibly kill your batting average, if the slump goes on for too long.

8. J.J. Hardy – Milwaukee Brewers

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
J.J. Hardy	569	24	2	78	74	0.283	0.343	0.478	0.53	0.821

Hot. Cold. Hot. Cold. I dont have much to say about J.J. Hardy other than the fact his SLG percentage should be in the high 400’s which is nice for your shortstop, but he wont steal bases.

You can pretty much assume that Hardy is going to put up 25 homers to go with a respectable .275 BA.  You could do a lot worse than Hardy.  His R / RBI numbers should stay in the same ball-park as last year, but that Brewers line-up has the potential for a huge increase in production if Fielder gets going and Weeks matures.

Hardy’s a pretty safe pick, with a bit of upside.  Owning him will definitely require some patience though — Just make sure to never click the “Stats for this Month” button when Hardy is slumping.

9. Derek Jeter – New York Yankees

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Derek Jeter	596	11	11	88	69	0.3	0.363	0.408	0.61	0.771

Jeter was once massively overrated, and now he’s underrated.  Its hard to value Jeter properly as he doesn’t do anything particularly well.  There are roughly three million players that can put up 10 SB to go with 10 HR, so he’s really not all that impressive.

A couple years ago, Jeter decided to put up 34 SB to go with a .343 average and 14  homers which was absolutely top-tier but he’s been declining since.

Normally you don’t refer to a players potential when he’s 34 years old, but that’s exactly what you get with Jeter. If you’re playing with guys who know their shit, Jeter has some serious value, as they probably despise him for being overrated for so long.

Anyways, Jeter has the potential to go for 15HR and 20+ SB, and the Run and RBI totals are always going to be there along with a guaranteed .300+ average.

Snag Jeter if he falls too far, as he’s probably in for a redemption year.

10. Michael Young – Texas Rangers

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Michael Young	645	12	10	102	82	0.284	0.339	0.402	0.5	0.741

I really see Jeter and Michael Young putting up identical numbers.  You should expect round ’bout 15 Home Runs, 10 Stolen Bases, a great batting average, and great run and rbi totals.

Young’s solid, and I’m sure that he’ll regain his .300+ batting average in 2009.  2008 was okay, but I’d expect 2009 to be a bit better than *okay*

There are a few indicators that he may be in for a steep decline, however. His Line Drive rate dropped drastically from 27 percent to 22 percent.  He started striking out more, notching his second 16% K rate after averaging about 13% during his prime years.  He just seems to be forcing it, and whether or not he played through a minor injury last year, or has just noticed his skills diminishing is up in the air.

10.5 Elvis Andrus – Texas Rangers

I featured Andrus here, in a Welcome to the Hype Machine post.  Andrus should steal plenty of bases and not kill you in the other categories.  His lack of natural power, really sits well in this spot as no one can really bang the bombs at this point.

11. Miguel Tejada – Houston Astros

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Miguel Tejada	632	13	7	92	66	0.283	0.314	0.415	0.33	0.729

Getting old, too old: 15 HR, 5 SB, 90 R, 75 RBI, .280 average.  He’s still very much roster-able, but he’s not going to start regaining his early 2000’s form where he was knocking out 30 HR each and every year.

12. Orlando Cabrera – Free Agent

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Orlando Cabrera	661	8	19	93	57	0.281	0.334	0.371	0.79	0.705

The Skills are still there, I just dont know where he’ll land.  He’s apparently a giant ass-hat, but he’ll do whatever’s asked of him, and he’s very much more concerned with his personal stat-line than team success — which is exactly what you want from your fantasy short-stop.

Great Value at this spot.

13. Yunel Escobar – Atlanta Braves

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Yunel Escobar	514	10	2	71	60	0.288	0.366	0.401	0.95	0.766

Escobar is my type of player, and with the Braves new pitching staff — he should help them contend for the NL East.

Yunel Escobar walks just about as much as he strikes out, and he gets on-base. Escobar’s splits when it comes to LD, FB, GB were quite interesting.  His LD rate should be floating around 20 percent, but last year he hiked his GB rate to a silly 59 percent which resulted in a 17 percent LD rate.

His fangraphs page is here, and it’s interesting to look at these stats because he’s definitely not going to put up the same numbers as last year.  He’s either going down a chunk, or up a chunk — I just have no clue how to interpret these numbers.

14. Khalil Greene – St. Louis Cardinals

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Khalil Greene	389	10	5	30	35	0.213	0.26	0.339	0.22	0.599

I’m going to hell for this, but Khalil Greene has a huge bounce back year. He’ll hit 25 home runs, and have quite possibly the longest Ball-Park-Effect induced orgasm in the history of man.

And, yes there’s more, Khalil Greene will hit .260.

And, cure cancer.

And, steal 12 bases.

15. Ryan Theriot- Chicago Cubs

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Ryan Theriot	580	1	22	85	38	0.307	0.387	0.359	1.26	0.745

Plays for the Cubs and gets on base.

When on base, will steal between 20-30 times.

That is all you really need to know.  Theriot could be a steal this year, especially if he grows his mullet out a smidgen more.

16. Christian Guzman – Washington Nationals

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Cristian Guzman	579	9	6	77	55	0.316	0.345	0.44	0.4	0.786

While playing fantasy baseball last year in a fairly shallow league, Christian Guzman’s name just kept popping up.  I’m not sure how the hell Guzman put up that kind of batting average even though his 50 game performance of 2007 showed he had it in him.

But, C’mon — it’s Christian Guzman we’re talking about here. The guy who steals 30 bases and hits .250, if you’re lucky.

If only all of the young, speedy, shortstops aged like this.  Once your legs are too old to steal 30 bases, you go and start hitting .320.

Stupid Christian Guzman. Washington has a decent enough offense to knock in Guzman 85 times in 2009 and if Guzman manages to get more than 140 games under his belt, he could put up some stellar numbers.

17. Edgar Renteria – San Francisco Giants

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Edgar Renteria	503	10	6	69	55	0.27	0.317	0.382	0.58	0.699

Renteria is useful enough, and on a real bad San Fran team, he should start running a bit more.  At this point in the short-stop rankings, value comes down to a solid contribution in one or two categories while not sinking the ship in the rest of the categories.

In a PERFECT world, Renteria puts up 75 Runs, 70 RBI, bops 14 home runs, steals 18 bases, and hits .280.

18. Jerry Hairston Jr. – Cincinnati Reds

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Jerry Hairston	261	6	15	47	36	0.326	0.384	0.487	0.64	0.871

Hairston put up great numbers in limited action last year, and it looks like he has the inside gig on the starting left-field job.

Of course, Hairston Jr. isn’t going to put up an .870!!! OPS again this year, that’s just ridiculous for a light hitting journey-man  second baseman.

BUT! he’ll steal some bases on a fairly young Cinci team, and all the rest of the stats are double double extra bonus bonus!

19. Mike Aviles – Kansas City Royals

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Mike Aviles	419	10	8	68	51	0.325	0.354	0.48	0.31	0.833

I’m not particularly high on Aviles, as he came out of absolute obscurity to put up great triple-A numbers in 2008. Then, as is always the case, those numbers predicted future major league success perfectly and Aviles is now a future HOFer.

Anyways, something just doesn’t add up for me, and 400 major league at-bats isn’t nowhere near enough AB to deduce a players true talent level.  If I recall correctly, 600 AB is when the numbers start becoming meaningful.

20. Jed Lowrie – Boston Red Sox

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Jed Lowrie	260	2	1	34	46	0.258	0.339	0.4	0.51	0.739

Uh, he’s in the Red Sox line-up and even if he bats 8th or 9th, he’ll be a useful source of Runs and RBI. Sure Lowrie has some potential, but not enough to start for most fantasy teams.

I’m sure someone in your league, who adores the Red Sox, will draft him though.  Pedroia showed last year that you don’t have to be the most talented player to succeed in that line-up, you just have to get on base.  If Lowrie can raise his OBP to .350, and his average to .270 — he’ll be very serviceable.

21. Marco Scutaro – Toronto Blue Jays

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Marco Scutaro	517	7	7	76	60	0.267	0.341	0.356	0.88	0.697

As much as I hate J.P. Ricciardi, picking up Scutaro was probably one of his better moves.  Scutaro can be plugged in just about anywhere and I was more than surprised to see him put up 75 Runs in the powerless Toronto Blue Jays line-up.

If Aaron Hill ever gets over his concussion, Scutaro is going to lose some at-bats to the completely useless John McDonald.  I wonder how deep your league would have to be to roster John McDonald — someone get back to me on this.

22. Jason Bartlett – Tampa Bay Rays

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Jason Bartlett	454	1	20	48	37	0.286	0.329	0.361	0.32	0.69

Barlett isn’t anything special in the fantasy world, but he was a huge part of the Tampa Bay Rays run to the world series. I still like the Garza/Bartlett trade for both sides, and Bartlett will continue to produce.

The Steals are nice and make him roster-able.  Getting 20 – 30 Steals late in a draft on the cheap is generally a good idea: A better idea than drafting a minor leaguer with heaps of potential, in most cases.

23. Nick Punto – Minnesota Twins

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Nick Punto	338	2	15	43	28	0.284	0.344	0.382	0.56	0.726

I like utility men quite a bit. Scutaro in Toronto and Ryan Freel in Baltimore now, are always more useful on the field than in the fantasy world.  Anyways, Punto has the ability to steal 25 bases and hit .285-.290 if he plays every day.

The Twins did well resigning him after letting him go, and i’m surprised that no one else expressed serious interest.  Keep Punto on your radar as he’ll prove to be useful throughout the season.

The problem with utility men is keeping track of when they’re playing and when they’re sitting on their buts, and nothing is worse than wasting a game on someone who’s not playing.

24. Clint Barmes- Colorado Rockies

Name	AB	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	BB/K	OPS
Clint Barmes	393	11	13	47	44	0.29	0.322	0.468	0.25	0.79

Well, he plays in Coors but he doesn’t particularly have a choke hold on the position.  If he plays, he plays and he should put up half decent numbers.  Barmes is either batting atop the Rockies line-up or right before the pitcher, so keep an eye on how this plays out.  He may be a nice late round pick-up, for the first chunk of the season at least until Stewart steals the second base job.

The Rest of The Rest, Complete With A Couple Guys To Keep An Eye On.

Yuniesky Betancourt - doesn’t contribute particularly well, nor does he steal bases.  His average will probably flutter in the wind, and land somewhere around .275.  He wont hurt you too bad, but he definitely wont help you.

Wilson Betemit – I like Wilson Betemit, and I’d imagine he’d find himself a spot somewhere in that White Sox day-to-day lineup.  Whether Fields fails, or Ramirez goes to second and Wilson plays short — he should get a shot.  If he does, he’s got the potential to put up some half decent numbers.

Bobby Crosby – Un-Ownable.  Once a top tier prospect, now he’s the constant producer of an awful BA. You never know though, sometimes these prospects shit the bed for years and then wake up and realize that they should be hitting 25 HR, and do so.

Brendan Harris – Not sure where he plays, I’m figuring on third with Punto at SS, but who knows.  He’s decent enough but doesn’t have Punto’s speed.  Come to think of it, Punto would probably be better served playing third with Harris at short.  Who knows.

The Anaheim Angeles of Los Angeles, Huh? Aybar and Izturis - 25 Steals. A .260 average. Enjoy you, Enjoy.

Jeff Keppinger – Uhh, he’s got to get a shit-tonne of Plate Appearances to have any value, at all. Those Walks add 50 pts in OBP.

Ben Zobrist – I’m not certain whats up with the OF situation in Tampa.  Zobrist should get in at least 120 games at one position or another.  Could be worth a look.

Emmanueal Burriss - might get some playing time at second, could be worth a long look.

Brandon Wood – The next Bobby Crosby?  Wood’s got a load of power, but just about everything else needs work.  I dont see how the Angels could actually play a game with him at short, but when Wood does put it together, he should be a bopper.

And to think just a couple years ago, I liked Brandon Wood more than Stephen Drew.

Ryan Freel - Set him free.

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